Common Sense Election Anaylsis

5 Nov

There are a number of reasons that Barack Obama won the Presidency yesterday, receiving more votes than any candidate in history.  Most of them are fairly obvious. 

  • George W. Bush was a really bad president.  Certainly, John McCain suffered from his party and policy affiliations with the current President, just as the majority of people suffered under his administration–unless, of course, you were in the top 1% of income earners, worked for or invested in Big Oil, or were on the Board at Halliburton or Blackwater.
  • John McCain was a lousy campaigner.  McCain’s best moments of the entire election cycle were his QVC skit on Saturday Night Live, his Monday Night Football Interview with Chris Berman, and his concession speech.  His best debate line, “Senator Obama, I am not President Bush. If you wanted to run against President Bush, you should have run four years ago,” would have hit harder than a wet sponge if he hadn’t spent the last six months trying to maintain his Party’s base by highlighting his belief in Bush policies. 
  • Barack Obama really connected with the people.  He was a great speaker.  He had a clear message which he delivered with charisma, focus, and detail.  It worked.
  • The Republicans failed to scare the electorate as they did in 2004.  They were unable to generate a polarizing social issue such as “gay marriage” which carried Ohio for Bush in 2004.  In fact, due to the economic collapse, more Americans were frightened of losing their jobs and homes than they were by lame Republican attempts to portray Obama as a socialist, Muslim, terrorist, or–holy cow–a liberal. 
  • Religion, a huge component of Bush’s 2000 victory, became less of an issue.  After eight years of Bush-Cheney international and economic disaster, maybe the good Christian voters began to realize that God wasn’t actually a Republican diety. 
  • Obama ran a clean campaign, and after two elections of Bush-Rove tactics, it appears that a more positive message resonated with voters.  As CBS News reported:  “Nearly every TV ad McCain ran last week was negative, compared to just 34 percent of those by Obama, according to an analysis by the Wisconsin Advertising Project released on Wednesday. “
  • When a candidate moves from who-they-really-are to who-they-think-they-need-to-be-to-get-elected, they lose.  Reagan was an ultra-conservative.  Bill Clinton was a centrist.  George W Bush was a God-fearing jughead.  Obama is a liberal (Apparently, not such a bad thing these days).  The 2000 John McCain didn’t court the Religious Right, employed an independent, critical thought process, and wouldn’t have stood for the type of negative campaigning that Bush-Rove used to sink McCain’s 2000 bid.  That all changed in 2008, and the results speak for themselves. 

Other Election Highlights:

  • Last night, the Fox News Channel crew looked and acted like a bunch of six year-olds who raced down the stairs only to find coal in their stockings.  Boo hoo.   Waaaaaaaaw.
  • Ben Affleck’s Keith Olbermann skit on SNL (perhaps the best episode of SNL since the glory days of the Belushi era).
  • The Hangover finally voted for a Presidential Candidate who won.  (It’s the first time since 1980, and that was a mistake.  Hey, I was a binge-drinking teenager at the time.)
  • The Hangover is still trying to remove John Edwards’ populist hook from his mouth, firmly planted during the primary season.  Only a true douche bag could have campaigned “for-the-people” while knowing that an affair with the biggest coke slut of the 1980’s was waiting to come tumbling out of the closet.  What if his message (which was a good one) had caught on?
  • Anne Curry delivers good news:  anytime, anyplace, but especially on MSNBC’s election night dressed in all black:

Maybe the mainstream media isn't so bad, after all.


9 Responses to “Common Sense Election Anaylsis”

  1. sfokc6125 November 5, 2008 at 10:46 am #

    I can only say I hope you are right. I hope he will get the job done. as to the House and the Hill. We need the balance in order for it to be a voice of all , not just the voice of one party. Mr Obamas job is to us the Americans not to a party not one race . I hope he can do that and get the job done.

  2. magnostic November 5, 2008 at 3:57 pm #

    Another highlight – Dennis and Callahan telling listeners the election was postponed for a day and getting warned by the Mass AG to “knock it off.”

    McCain was finally genuine in his concession – the 2000 John McCain about six months too late.

    The Affleck skit was priceless.

    I hope Mrs. Hangover doesn’t read your blog, you’ll be sleeping on the couch tonight with a crumpled up photo of Anne Curry.

  3. Chilly Nate November 6, 2008 at 7:45 am #

    As equipment manager of the cross country team…
    I must say your article is courageous!
    I enjoyed this one, except the Anne Curry reference!

  4. Sir Martin Wagstaff November 6, 2008 at 7:56 am #

    Obama: YES!

    Affleck as Olbermann’s line “up with which we will not put,” delivered with spit for emphasis, is one for the ages.

    Dennis & Callahan: justifiable double homicide in my book. OK, that might be a stretch…. but they’re behavior is reprehensible. I can’t imagine that many people in MA listen to their program. They make WPOR sound like Air America.

    Anne Curry — YES YES YES! If Mrs. Hangover protests, our couch is open to you.


  5. aaron, of course November 6, 2008 at 1:43 pm #

    Flawed analysis. Given your facts he should have won by a much larger margin. Obama’s vote total was only 1.5% larger than Bush’s in 2004. If the Republicans could have fielded a stronger candidate (and what does that say about the repub party!) Obama would have had a much tougher time. Oh, and $350million never hurts! So much for his pledge to use public funds!

    Hillary would have won every state.

    Here’s a thought, and I’m curious if anyone else has anything to add. Here we are (were), choosing the next President of the Free World, arguably the most powerful person ON EARTH, and WE GET 3 DEBATES!?! the veep candidates got ONE! And all the candidates weren’t even represented! That is a manufactured travesty. The American people deserve more. We deserve to see the canditated more often and in less controlled environments. We deserve to hear more from them in their own words. I just think that’s a great flaw in the process.

    I must differ with your observations of the Fox News Crew. While they may have appeared morose as compared to other
    ?unbiased? ‘news’ outlets, isn’t that kinda what you’d expect from a news channel? Juan Williams was eloquent and heartfelt in his observations of what the country’s first (1/2) black president meant to him and the nation, and Carl Rove was awesome when he analyzed how the election of Obama is a clear cut demonstration of how the U.S constantly raises the bar and shows the way. When I turned to MSNBC all I saw was Chris Matthews wetting his pants. Great coverage. And I’m still not convinced that Keith ‘Forehead Vein’ Olberdouche and Rachel ‘MadCow’ Maddow are 2 different people.

    That was Ben Affleck? I couldn’t tell the difference.

    Anne Curry…yes please.

    Best of luck to Barack. I hope he does a great job.

  6. Chilly Nate November 6, 2008 at 5:15 pm #

    And don’t forget about the crumpled up photo of Heidi Watney.

  7. alguschip November 7, 2008 at 9:59 am #

    Aaron, I’m glad you don’t sound at all bitter.

  8. Booger November 7, 2008 at 8:30 pm #

    You forgot one reason about gathering so many votes: Acorn!

    I’m not with you on Curry.

  9. Booger November 8, 2008 at 2:56 pm #

    Great observations Aaron.

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